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An expert reviews the evidence and explains how well does the vaccine work.

Mar 6, 2021

When the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine was first authorised by the United Kingdom Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency, it was hailed as a milestone in turning the tide on the coronavirus.
But in the time since, this highly efficacious vaccine has suffered a lot of reputational damage. In January, the German press and French president Emmanuel Macron falsely claimed that it is largely ineffective in people over 65 years, despite there being no evidence to support this.
Yet concrete evidence on how protective the vaccine is in older people has been lacking, leading some European countries to restrict the vaccine to under-65s. Together, these factors appear to have created high levels of scepticism in Europe and low levels of uptake.
Thankfully, though, more information on how well the vaccine works is arriving all of the time and seeing the vaccines positive effects, somecountries are now reversing their restrictions on giving it to over-65 years. Here is what we know so far about the vaccines effects.
Trials suggested its a bit less protective than other vaccines. Pfizers, for example, prevented symptomatic disease 95% of the time in testing, whereas the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine did so 70% of the time.
But recent real-world data from the UK suggests that the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine might actually be a bit better than Pfizers at preventing serious disease and hospitalisation. However, these studies have not been set up to avoid outside biases affecting results. For example, the Pfizer vaccine was rolled out first, so might have been given disproportionately to more vulnerable people. Also, these studies are preprints, meaning they havent been checked by other scientists yet.
So whether the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine is more or less effective than others at preventing Covid-19 is not clear yet. The important thing to remember is that all the authorised vaccines are safe and offer very good levels of protection against Covid-19. If you are offered any vaccine, you should take it.
An early stage of testing a combined phase 1 and phase 2 trial strongly suggested that the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine would offer protection to older people. It showed the vaccine generated just as strong immune response in older participants as younger ones.
However, as we do not know to what extent different parts of the immune response act against the virus, this alone did not prove that the vaccine would be effective in this age group. And in the final phase of testing phase 3 trials which are designed to prove that a vaccine is protective, there were not enough people over 55 years to give a reliable estimate of protection for this group.
Several billion doses may be distributed this year. Fighting misinformation will be key to ensuring they have the greatest impact. Photo credit: Joel Saget / AFP
Exactly how protective the vaccine is in older people remains uncertain. But a recent preprint suggests it works very well. A single shot of the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine appears to reduce the chances of people being admitted to hospital with Covid-19 by 80% after the first dose.
It depends on the variant. A preprint suggests that the vaccine may be as effective against B117, the variant that has arisen in the United Kingdom, as it was against the earlier forms of the coronavirus.
But against the variant circulating in South Africa, B1351, a preprint suggests it may be much less effective at preventing mild to moderate disease than it was against previous forms of the virus. It is believed this is because of a mutation called E484K, which changes the viruss exterior so that existing antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 are less able to bind to it.
Sarah Gilbert, lead researcher on the Oxford Vaccine Development Programme, believes that the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine will still protect against severe disease when facing these variants. However, this has yet to be proven.
Variants circulating in New York (B1526) and Brazil (P1) also have this E484K mutation. We do not yet have data on how well the vaccine works against these variants, but its plausible that it may struggle against them too.
In the meantime, the vaccines developers have confirmed that they can tweak it to handle these mutations. They estimate an updated booster could be ready by autumn.
The Oxford vaccine is already being widely deployed: doses made in India are now being administered in Egypt, for example. Photo credit: Punit Paranjpe / AFP
You might experience some, but they should not be severe or last long. Common side-effects include a sore patch where the needle went into your arm, a temperature, aching, tiredness and feeling sick. These are not necessarily bad, because they are a sign that your immune system has noticed the vaccine and is responding to it.
In France and Germany, reports of healthcare workers experiencing flu-like symptoms after receiving the vaccine at rates of 40% of people or higher have worried people. However, these effects were also seen in the vaccines combined phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trial. Researchers found that taking paracetamol helped and that these effects had largely subsided after seven days.
The intervals between doses have been a bit controversial since the 12-week gap that Is being left between them in the UK is different from the dosing schedule that was submitted for regulatory approval by the manufacturer.
However, it looks like delaying the second dose to 12 weeks after the first is actually a good idea. The protection from the first injection seems to last, and if you have the second vaccine 12 weeks later, rather than four weeks as originally proposed, that seems to generate a stronger immune response.
Sarah Pitt is a Principal Lecturer, Microbiology and Biomedical Science Practice, Fellow of the Institute of Biomedical Science at the University of Brighton.
This article first appeared on The Conversation.